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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+3.34vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.50+6.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.49+5.02vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.07+4.16vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+2.48vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.71-2.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.74vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-3.01vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-2.55-3.41vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.96vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.82-4.98vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.41-1.96vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.68-6.36vs Predicted
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16University of Texas-0.52-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Hawaii2.4121.6%1st Place
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5.34University of California at Santa Barbara1.6711.8%1st Place
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9.11Northeastern University0.503.1%1st Place
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9.02University of California at Irvine0.494.2%1st Place
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4.65California Poly Maritime Academy1.9215.5%1st Place
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10.16University of California at Davis0.072.5%1st Place
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9.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.8%1st Place
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5.26University of Southern California1.7110.8%1st Place
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10.74University of California at Los Angeles0.112.1%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Berkeley0.985.5%1st Place
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7.59University of Washington-2.555.5%1st Place
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12.96University of California at San Diego-0.701.1%1st Place
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8.02California State University Channel Islands0.825.1%1st Place
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12.04Arizona State University-0.411.6%1st Place
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8.64Northwestern University0.684.3%1st Place
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12.37University of Texas-0.521.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 21.6% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Arin Bekem | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 15.5% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Max Case | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 7.4% |
| Will Cornell | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Miller | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 32.9% |
| Sterling Maggard | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 20.3% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Oliver Fenner | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.