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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+5.59vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.78vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy3.06+9.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+3.70vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+3.34vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+1.86vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.31-0.14vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98+0.08vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.92-0.60vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-0.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.01vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.36-5.09vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.51-2.96vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-0.08vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University2.71-1.83vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.19-8.58vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.89-4.23vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.56-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.16Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.86Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.86Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.08Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.4Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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9.25Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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13.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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13.92Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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13.17Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.42Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.77Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.76Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% |
| William Haeger | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Sam Williams | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Colin Smith | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 17.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 27.6% |
| John McGlynn | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 18.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 13.8% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.