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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.60+1.33vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+1.26vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.24+1.67vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20+0.78vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.52+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.99+0.97vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-3.11vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-0.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.84-2.30vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-1.84-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33California Poly Maritime Academy1.6036.9%1st Place
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3.26California Poly Maritime Academy0.9718.8%1st Place
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4.67California Poly Maritime Academy0.249.2%1st Place
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4.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.207.8%1st Place
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6.09Arizona State University-0.524.3%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Berkeley-0.993.4%1st Place
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3.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8314.2%1st Place
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7.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.0%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Irvine-0.842.8%1st Place
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8.35California State University Channel Islands-1.841.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 36.9% | 25.7% | 18.9% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 18.8% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Kasper | 7.8% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Down | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 4.7% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 13.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.2% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 25.5% | 28.9% |
| Brayden Money | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 9.8% |
| Liam Moran | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 21.3% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.