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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+6.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+4.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.31+3.69vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+3.70vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+3.50vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+2.15vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.56+2.62vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.88vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-2.28vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University2.71+1.71vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.92-3.58vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.19-5.86vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.36-7.42vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.51-5.00vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-2.44vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.53vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy3.06-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.13Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.5Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.15Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.62Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.71Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.42Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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7.14Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.58Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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13.56Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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12.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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11.55Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Sam Williams | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Colin Smith | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| John McGlynn | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 18.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| OJ O'Connell | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 17.0% | 33.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 17.4% |
| Blake Burgess | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.