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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+6.70vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.56+7.61vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.31+3.66vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+3.73vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy3.06+6.30vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.52vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+1.74vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.08vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.19-1.67vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.36-3.62vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.43-4.60vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.92-4.76vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.92-5.68vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.51-5.06vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-2.40vs Predicted
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17Tufts University4.08-9.35vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University2.71-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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11.3Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.74Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.33Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.38Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.24Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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13.6Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.8Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Sam Williams | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Blake Burgess | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 18.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Kopp | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Jordan Factor | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 3.2% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 34.1% |
| William Haeger | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| John McGlynn | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.