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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University4.08+5.37vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+4.06vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.92+4.22vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+3.81vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.56+3.45vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.31-0.09vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.34vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98-1.13vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.36-3.30vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.82vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy3.06-0.37vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.51-3.22vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-0.33vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.92-6.69vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.43-9.76vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.06-9.30vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University2.71-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.06Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.22Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.81Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.45Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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12.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.87Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.63Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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13.67Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.24Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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12.76Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 15.5% |
| Colin Smith | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Blake Burgess | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 12.4% |
| Jordan Factor | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 32.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Sam Williams | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| John McGlynn | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.