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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+3.06vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+3.35vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+2.64vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.19+6.89vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.17+1.96vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.60+0.65vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.12+0.74vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.41+1.04vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.10-4.26vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34+0.15vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.08+0.25vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.87-3.86vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-2.94vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.67+1.94vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.46-1.98vs Predicted
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16Auburn University0.12-5.09vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.01-2.88vs Predicted
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18University of South Carolina-1.80-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06College of Charleston2.4919.4%1st Place
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5.35University of Miami2.3211.7%1st Place
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5.64Florida State University1.6911.8%1st Place
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10.89The Citadel0.191.5%1st Place
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6.96Eckerd College1.176.6%1st Place
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6.65University of South Florida1.608.3%1st Place
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7.74North Carolina State University1.125.7%1st Place
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9.04Rollins College0.413.6%1st Place
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4.74Jacksonville University2.1014.4%1st Place
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10.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.342.9%1st Place
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11.25Wake Forest University0.081.4%1st Place
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8.14Clemson University0.875.1%1st Place
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10.06Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.7%1st Place
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15.94University of Central Florida-1.670.1%1st Place
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13.02University of North Carolina-0.461.1%1st Place
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10.91Auburn University0.121.7%1st Place
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14.12Duke University-1.010.6%1st Place
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16.34University of South Carolina-1.800.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 19.4% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 14.4% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Simpson | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Rain Hong | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 27.0% | 35.8% |
| May Proctor | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 4.3% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 9.6% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 23.2% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.