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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20+3.73vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.60+0.37vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+0.32vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.99+1.89vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-1.49vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+1.01vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.52-1.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.84-2.22vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-1.84-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.208.6%1st Place
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2.37California Poly Maritime Academy1.6035.9%1st Place
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3.32California Poly Maritime Academy0.9718.4%1st Place
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3.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8313.7%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Berkeley-0.992.8%1st Place
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4.51California Poly Maritime Academy0.249.8%1st Place
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8.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.5%1st Place
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6.04Arizona State University-0.524.5%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Irvine-0.843.7%1st Place
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8.39California State University Channel Islands-1.841.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Kasper | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 35.9% | 26.4% | 17.5% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 18.4% | 20.6% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 13.7% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 17.1% | 11.4% |
| Kole Kammerer | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 26.8% | 29.8% |
| Andrew Down | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 5.7% |
| Brayden Money | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 10.1% |
| Liam Moran | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 22.1% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.