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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+7.05vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+5.83vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.56+6.60vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+3.71vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+4.58vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.43+0.41vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.36-0.50vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.31-1.40vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.19-1.64vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-2.55vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-2.61vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.92-3.82vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-4.13vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University2.71-1.14vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy3.06-4.55vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.53vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.41-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.83Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.6Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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6.41Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.5Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.36Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.18Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.86Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.45Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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12.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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13.69Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Colin Smith | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Sam Williams | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| William Haeger | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| John McGlynn | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 21.8% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 17.9% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 17.1% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.