← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.41+2.74vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.43vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine0.49+6.16vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-2.55+3.56vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Davis0.07+4.93vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California1.71-0.79vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.35+2.83vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University0.68+0.58vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-3.51vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-0.35vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.22vs Predicted
-
12University of Texas0.11-2.03vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-4.36vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands0.82-6.10vs Predicted
-
15Arizona State University-0.41-2.86vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-0.70-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.74University of Hawaii2.4120.0%1st Place
-
4.43California Poly Maritime Academy1.9216.4%1st Place
-
9.16University of California at Irvine0.493.8%1st Place
-
7.56University of Washington-2.555.9%1st Place
-
9.93University of California at Davis0.072.9%1st Place
-
5.21University of Southern California1.7113.0%1st Place
-
9.83University of California at Berkeley0.352.7%1st Place
-
8.58Northwestern University0.684.6%1st Place
-
5.49University of California at Santa Barbara1.6710.3%1st Place
-
9.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.8%1st Place
-
10.78University of California at Los Angeles0.112.4%1st Place
-
9.97University of Texas0.113.0%1st Place
-
8.64University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.7%1st Place
-
7.9California State University Channel Islands0.825.3%1st Place
-
12.14Arizona State University-0.411.4%1st Place
-
13.01University of California at San Diego-0.700.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 20.0% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 16.4% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Maxwell Miller | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.5% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Linnea Jackson | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 9.9% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Sterling Maggard | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 22.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.