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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.31+5.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+5.48vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.36+3.47vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+2.32vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.06+2.49vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+2.36vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+1.01vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.19-0.93vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.92-0.61vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.56-0.51vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.59vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.51-2.27vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University2.71-0.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.49vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy3.06-4.53vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.41-3.34vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.78-9.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.47Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.32Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.01Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.07Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.39Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.49Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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12.81Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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11.47Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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13.66Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.82Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sam Williams | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Colin Smith | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| John McGlynn | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 21.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 20.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 30.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.