← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.56+8.27vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.08vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University2.41+10.43vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University3.92+4.21vs Predicted
-
5Boston College4.43+1.04vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University4.08+1.64vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University4.36-0.60vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College4.06-0.54vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University4.31-2.21vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.26vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College3.44-1.87vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.92-4.89vs Predicted
-
14Wesleyan University2.71-1.29vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy3.06-3.44vs Predicted
-
16Yale University4.19-8.86vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont3.51-7.24vs Predicted
-
18Brown University3.98-10.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.27Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
-
8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
13.43Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
-
8.21Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
-
6.04Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
7.64Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
6.4Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
-
7.46Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
6.79Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
12.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
10.13Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
-
8.11University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
12.71Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
-
11.56Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
-
7.14Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
9.76University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
-
8.0Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 32.5% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 15.7% |
| Peter Miller | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| John McGlynn | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 20.7% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 11.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Colin Smith | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.