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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+11.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+4.99vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.92+5.11vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+4.14vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.36+1.28vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+2.03vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.43-0.82vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.08vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-1.35vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy3.06+1.35vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.51-1.14vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.06-4.47vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.44-2.85vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-0.33vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University4.31-9.36vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University2.71-4.26vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.56-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.99Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.11Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.28Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.03Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.18Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.35Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.15Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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13.67Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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6.64Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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12.74Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.61Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Milliken | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 14.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Kopp | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| William Haeger | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Sam Williams | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Peter Miller | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 34.5% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.9% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| John McGlynn | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 19.8% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.