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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+2.87vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+1.21vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.52+3.08vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20+0.74vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.60-2.63vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-1.37vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+0.97vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.84-1.31vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-1.84-0.63vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.99-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8313.7%1st Place
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3.21California Poly Maritime Academy0.9720.4%1st Place
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6.08Arizona State University-0.524.1%1st Place
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4.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.207.6%1st Place
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2.37California Poly Maritime Academy1.6037.1%1st Place
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4.63California Poly Maritime Academy0.248.8%1st Place
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7.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.572.1%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Irvine-0.843.0%1st Place
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8.37California State University Channel Islands-1.840.7%1st Place
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7.06University of California at Berkeley-0.992.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 13.7% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Louttit | 20.4% | 22.6% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Down | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 4.8% |
| Lucas Kasper | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 37.1% | 24.2% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Gates | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 26.1% | 29.1% |
| Brayden Money | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 10.1% |
| Liam Moran | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 22.2% | 40.9% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.