← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College4.06+7.11vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University4.36+4.82vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.98+5.36vs Predicted
-
4Boston College4.43+2.33vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University4.31+1.83vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy3.06+5.95vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.41+7.16vs Predicted
-
8Yale University4.19-0.72vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University4.08-1.27vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.07vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.30vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University3.92-3.17vs Predicted
-
13Boston University3.56-3.20vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont3.51-4.22vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island3.92-6.62vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College3.78-6.94vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.89-4.26vs Predicted
-
18Wesleyan University2.71-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.11Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
6.82Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
-
8.36Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
-
6.33Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
6.83Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
11.95Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
-
14.16Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
-
7.28Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
7.73Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
13.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
8.83Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.8Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
-
9.78University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
-
8.38University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.06Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
-
12.74Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
-
13.08Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Williams | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Colin Smith | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 28.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 16.8% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 15.3% |
| John McGlynn | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.