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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+5.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+5.60vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+3.56vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+3.70vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.06+2.90vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51+4.22vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92+1.52vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.53vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.97vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.92-1.26vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.31-3.97vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.98-3.42vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.52-3.00vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.56-4.37vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.44-4.56vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University2.71-2.59vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.41-2.61vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy3.06-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.6Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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8.52Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.58Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.0Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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9.63Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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13.41Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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14.39Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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11.88Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Sam Williams | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 15.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Colin Smith | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Peter Miller | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| John McGlynn | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 21.4% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 31.4% |
| Blake Burgess | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.