← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Arizona State University-0.52+5.06vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.60+0.34vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.96vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy0.24+0.63vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy0.97-1.73vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley-0.99+1.08vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20-2.34vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-0.10vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine-0.84-2.26vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands-1.84-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.06Arizona State University-0.524.8%1st Place
-
2.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.6037.5%1st Place
-
3.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8313.0%1st Place
-
4.63California Poly Maritime Academy0.249.2%1st Place
-
3.27California Poly Maritime Academy0.9718.5%1st Place
-
7.08University of California at Berkeley-0.992.5%1st Place
-
4.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.208.8%1st Place
-
7.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.6%1st Place
-
6.74University of California at Irvine-0.843.1%1st Place
-
8.37California State University Channel Islands-1.841.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Down | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 4.5% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 37.5% | 25.7% | 17.0% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 13.0% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kole Kammerer | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Ben Louttit | 18.5% | 20.7% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 14.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 22.5% | 28.7% |
| Brayden Money | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 9.3% |
| Liam Moran | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.