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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.59vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-2.55+4.43vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.68+4.53vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+4.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.87vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.82+0.91vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.50+1.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.35+0.43vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.71-5.03vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine0.49-1.82vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.11-1.52vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.41-1.29vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.07-4.28vs Predicted
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15University of Texas-0.52-2.73vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.70-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Hawaii2.4121.6%1st Place
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4.54California Poly Maritime Academy1.9215.2%1st Place
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7.43University of Washington-2.555.9%1st Place
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8.53Northwestern University0.684.3%1st Place
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9.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.0%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.6712.0%1st Place
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7.91California State University Channel Islands0.825.0%1st Place
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9.02Northeastern University0.504.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Berkeley0.353.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Southern California1.7113.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at Irvine0.493.4%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Los Angeles0.112.5%1st Place
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11.71Arizona State University-0.411.6%1st Place
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9.72University of California at Davis0.072.5%1st Place
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12.27University of Texas-0.521.1%1st Place
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12.7University of California at San Diego-0.701.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 21.6% | 20.4% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 15.2% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Max Case | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sterling Maggard | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 17.8% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Oliver Fenner | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 23.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 17.7% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.