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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.44+9.64vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.31+5.15vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.83vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.41+10.05vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+3.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+2.53vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.19+0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51+2.08vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-1.16vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.56+0.31vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.36-4.11vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy3.06+0.30vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.92-4.62vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College4.06-6.35vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.12vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-5.77vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University2.71-3.58vs Predicted
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18Boston College4.43-11.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.64Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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14.05Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.2Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.38Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.31Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.3Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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8.38Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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12.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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13.42Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.25Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Miller | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 31.2% |
| Colin Smith | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| William Haeger | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 11.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Sam Williams | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 15.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| John McGlynn | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 21.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.