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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+5.75vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+4.47vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+7.30vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+3.64vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+3.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.56+3.80vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92+1.30vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.35vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University2.71+4.09vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.98-1.67vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-3.18vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.89+0.76vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.44-2.87vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-0.18vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.19-7.85vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62-2.51vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University4.31-10.12vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy3.06-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.8Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.3Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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13.09Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.33Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.76Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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10.13Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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13.82Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.15Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.0%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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11.64Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Sam Williams | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| John McGlynn | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 13.9% |
| Colin Smith | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| William Haeger | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 16.2% |
| Peter Miller | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 25.6% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 21.6% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Blake Burgess | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.