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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+2.91vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.99+4.95vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20+1.66vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.60-1.64vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.97-1.75vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-1.43vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.52-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.84-1.22vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-1.02vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-1.84-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8313.2%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Berkeley-0.993.5%1st Place
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4.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.208.5%1st Place
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2.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.6034.8%1st Place
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3.25California Poly Maritime Academy0.9720.4%1st Place
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4.57California Poly Maritime Academy0.248.9%1st Place
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6.15Arizona State University-0.524.8%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Irvine-0.843.1%1st Place
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7.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.5%1st Place
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8.38California State University Channel Islands-1.841.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 13.2% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 13.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 34.8% | 27.1% | 18.9% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 20.4% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 8.9% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Down | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 4.8% |
| Brayden Money | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 8.8% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 24.9% | 29.6% |
| Liam Moran | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 21.6% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.