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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+7.05vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.56+7.79vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.41vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.92+3.98vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+1.59vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.89+6.10vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.36-0.57vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-1.89vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.92-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.51-0.05vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.19-3.77vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University2.71+0.85vs Predicted
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13Tufts University4.08-5.60vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College4.06-6.72vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy3.06-3.60vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.44-5.98vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.41-3.29vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.69-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.98Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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12.1Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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6.43Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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7.23Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.85Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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11.4Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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13.71Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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17.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 1.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John McGlynn | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 20.3% | 2.2% |
| William Haeger | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 0.4% |
| Peter Miller | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 30.7% | 2.8% |
| Amanda Hamlet | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 92.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.