← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.49+3.01vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.32+3.29vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.70+3.02vs Predicted
-
4Florida State University1.69+1.63vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel0.19+5.91vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34+4.02vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College1.17-0.10vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.60-1.48vs Predicted
-
9Wake Forest University0.08+2.33vs Predicted
-
10Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+0.17vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University1.12-3.32vs Predicted
-
12University of Central Florida-1.67+3.90vs Predicted
-
13Auburn University0.12-2.50vs Predicted
-
14Clemson University0.87-6.09vs Predicted
-
15Rollins College0.41-6.10vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina-0.46-3.14vs Predicted
-
17Duke University-1.01-2.74vs Predicted
-
18University of South Carolina-1.80-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.01College of Charleston2.4918.6%1st Place
-
5.29University of Miami2.3213.2%1st Place
-
6.02Jacksonville University1.7010.6%1st Place
-
5.63Florida State University1.6910.9%1st Place
-
10.91The Citadel0.192.3%1st Place
-
10.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.343.1%1st Place
-
6.9Eckerd College1.178.0%1st Place
-
6.52University of South Florida1.606.5%1st Place
-
11.33Wake Forest University0.082.8%1st Place
-
10.17Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.3%1st Place
-
7.68North Carolina State University1.125.9%1st Place
-
15.9University of Central Florida-1.670.7%1st Place
-
10.5Auburn University0.123.1%1st Place
-
7.91Clemson University0.875.7%1st Place
-
8.9Rollins College0.413.9%1st Place
-
12.86University of North Carolina-0.461.1%1st Place
-
14.26Duke University-1.011.1%1st Place
-
16.18University of South Carolina-1.800.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 18.6% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Simpson | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jordan Vieira | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rain Hong | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 26.8% | 35.5% |
| Bridget Monahan | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| May Proctor | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 2.9% |
| Jack Wigmore | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 19.8% | 12.3% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 23.1% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.