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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+3.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis0.07+6.92vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+5.44vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.68+3.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.11+4.47vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine0.49+1.89vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-2.55-0.61vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.50-0.01vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-5.64vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.71-5.92vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.35-2.39vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-0.52-0.84vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.41-2.21vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.82-7.04vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.70-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of Hawaii2.4122.6%1st Place
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5.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.6714.5%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Davis0.072.8%1st Place
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9.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.2%1st Place
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8.41Northwestern University0.684.4%1st Place
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10.47University of California at Los Angeles0.112.4%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Irvine0.493.5%1st Place
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7.39University of Washington-2.555.3%1st Place
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8.99Northeastern University0.502.8%1st Place
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4.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.9214.8%1st Place
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5.08University of Southern California1.7111.8%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Berkeley0.353.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Texas-0.521.1%1st Place
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11.79Arizona State University-0.411.4%1st Place
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7.96California State University Channel Islands0.825.1%1st Place
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12.83University of California at San Diego-0.701.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 22.6% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 14.5% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Max Case | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Linnea Jackson | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% |
| Arin Bekem | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Maxwell Miller | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 14.8% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Oliver Fenner | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 21.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 17.9% |
| Sterling Maggard | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.