← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.88+6.63vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.67+6.42vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.89+4.55vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+4.28vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.35+4.40vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont3.63+2.33vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.90+4.18vs Predicted
-
8Brown University4.30-2.17vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University3.70-0.95vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.93+1.39vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College4.05-4.11vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University4.71-7.13vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.68-1.06vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University3.36-4.80vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College3.71-6.94vs Predicted
-
16Wesleyan University1.49-0.43vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy1.62-1.72vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.63Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
8.42Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
-
7.55Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
8.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
-
9.4Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
-
8.33University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
11.18Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
-
5.83Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
8.05Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
-
11.39University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
6.89Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
4.87Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
-
11.94Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
-
9.2Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
-
8.06Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
15.57Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
-
15.28Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
13.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| James Simmons | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.8% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 4.9% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Molly Haley | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 20.2% | 40.9% |
| Christopher Hulse | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 21.7% | 34.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.