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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+5.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+6.33vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+4.53vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+5.34vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.88+2.34vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.63+2.41vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.90+4.22vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93+2.98vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-4.49vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.71-1.65vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-2.65vs Predicted
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12Brown University4.30-5.79vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.07vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.36-4.80vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.62+0.25vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-7.61vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.68-4.83vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University1.49-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.53Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.34Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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7.34Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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11.22Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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4.51Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.35Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.21Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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13.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.2Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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15.25Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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12.17Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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15.36Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Alex Cook | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 2.6% |
| James Simmons | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.8% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.7% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Hulse | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 21.7% | 34.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 5.9% |
| Molly Haley | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 21.2% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.