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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+2.20vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.60+0.36vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.52+3.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.99+3.01vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20-0.25vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands-1.84+2.36vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+0.96vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.84-1.30vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-4.39vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2California Poly Maritime Academy0.9720.9%1st Place
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2.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.6036.1%1st Place
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6.14Arizona State University-0.523.6%1st Place
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7.01University of California at Berkeley-0.993.8%1st Place
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4.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.208.2%1st Place
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8.36California State University Channel Islands-1.840.8%1st Place
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7.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.572.2%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Irvine-0.842.6%1st Place
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4.61California Poly Maritime Academy0.249.0%1st Place
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3.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8312.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Louttit | 20.9% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 36.1% | 26.2% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 20.0% | 13.7% |
| Lucas Kasper | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Liam Moran | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 21.9% | 40.8% |
| Daniel Gates | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 24.3% | 29.3% |
| Brayden Money | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 9.3% |
| Kole Kammerer | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Jack Kisling | 12.7% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.