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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+4.97vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.47vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+5.25vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+3.07vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71-0.51vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.05+0.65vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70+0.91vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35+1.22vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93+1.91vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.88-2.57vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.90+0.13vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54+0.62vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University1.49+2.23vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-2.46vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.63-6.86vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.85vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.62-1.85vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.71-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.07Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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4.49Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.22Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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11.13Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.62Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.23Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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13.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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15.15Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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7.67Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 18.1% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| James Simmons | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Alex Cook | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 7.1% |
| Molly Haley | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 20.3% | 35.9% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 4.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% |
| Christopher Hulse | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 22.0% | 33.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.