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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+6.44vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+7.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+5.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+3.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.89+2.16vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+1.94vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93+3.95vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.10vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-4.58vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-3.18vs Predicted
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11Brown University4.30-5.12vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.90-0.68vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-4.94vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-2.47vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-2.74vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University1.49-0.57vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.78vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.62-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.5Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.16Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.94Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.95University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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4.42Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.88Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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11.32Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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12.26Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.43Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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13.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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14.96Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| James Simmons | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 17.7% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% |
| Molly Haley | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 11.6% | 19.5% | 38.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 11.4% |
| Christopher Hulse | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 22.9% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.