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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+3.13vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.71+2.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.35+5.52vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+3.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine0.49+3.11vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-2.55+0.33vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-3.50vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.82-1.04vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.68-1.80vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.62vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.63vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.07-3.29vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.41-2.20vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-5.49vs Predicted
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16University of Texas-0.52-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of Hawaii2.4121.4%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.6712.2%1st Place
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5.1University of Southern California1.7111.9%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Berkeley0.353.4%1st Place
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8.35University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.9%1st Place
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9.11University of California at Irvine0.493.5%1st Place
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7.33University of Washington-2.556.5%1st Place
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4.5California Poly Maritime Academy1.9213.8%1st Place
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7.96California State University Channel Islands0.825.1%1st Place
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8.2Northwestern University0.685.3%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Los Angeles0.112.6%1st Place
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13.63University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
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9.71University of California at Davis0.072.9%1st Place
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11.8Arizona State University-0.411.2%1st Place
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9.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.9%1st Place
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12.11University of Texas-0.521.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 21.4% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Arin Bekem | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Maxwell Miller | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 13.8% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Linnea Jackson | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 6.4% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 45.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 15.3% |
| Max Case | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Oliver Fenner | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.