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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+5.15vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+7.81vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+5.60vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.88+3.42vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.70+3.13vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.90+5.26vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.05+2.63vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-2.30vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy1.62+5.34vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-2.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.54vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.71-5.00vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-2.27vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.89-7.67vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University4.71-11.31vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University1.49-1.42vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.36-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.81Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.26Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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15.34Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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13.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.0Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.73Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.33Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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4.69Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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15.58Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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9.24Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Cook | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 21.9% | 35.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 10.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 4.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.2% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Haley | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 20.5% | 41.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.