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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.60+1.32vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+1.35vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.89vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.52+2.07vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20-0.31vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.99-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.84-1.28vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-0.94vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-1.84-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32California Poly Maritime Academy1.6035.7%1st Place
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3.35California Poly Maritime Academy0.9718.3%1st Place
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3.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8314.2%1st Place
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6.07Arizona State University-0.525.0%1st Place
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4.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.208.8%1st Place
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4.64California Poly Maritime Academy0.248.8%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Berkeley-0.993.3%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Irvine-0.843.2%1st Place
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8.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.7%1st Place
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8.33California State University Channel Islands-1.841.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 35.7% | 27.8% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 18.3% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.2% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Down | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 5.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 11.8% |
| Brayden Money | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 9.3% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 23.3% | 32.1% |
| Liam Moran | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 22.6% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.