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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+7.11vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+7.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+2.89vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+2.55vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.05+5.40vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.88+1.33vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70+0.89vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.15vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-4.59vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.89-2.48vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-2.76vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.40vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-4.90vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-1.95vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-3.15vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.90-4.87vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University1.49-1.55vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.62-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.55Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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5.89Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.55Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.33Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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4.41Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.52Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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13.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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12.05Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.85Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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11.13Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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15.45Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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14.97Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Alex Cook | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 17.9% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 12.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 5.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Molly Haley | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 20.7% | 39.6% |
| Christopher Hulse | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.