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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+1.79vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+1.21vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.83vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.52+2.09vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-0.46vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+1.83vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.84-0.29vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20-3.37vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-1.84-0.63vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.99-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.2029.2%1st Place
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3.21California Poly Maritime Academy0.9720.8%1st Place
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3.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8314.9%1st Place
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6.09Arizona State University-0.524.5%1st Place
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4.54California Poly Maritime Academy0.2410.6%1st Place
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7.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.8%1st Place
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6.71University of California at Irvine-0.843.7%1st Place
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4.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.209.9%1st Place
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8.37California State University Channel Islands-1.841.6%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Berkeley-0.993.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 29.2% | 22.4% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 20.8% | 21.5% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.9% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Down | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 4.7% |
| Kole Kammerer | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 22.7% | 29.5% |
| Brayden Money | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 10.3% |
| Lucas Kasper | 9.9% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Liam Moran | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 22.1% | 41.8% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.