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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.77vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+6.38vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.05+7.91vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+5.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.89+2.30vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.68+6.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.28vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.90+3.15vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67-0.82vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.71-1.67vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.63-2.51vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.88-4.18vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-4.75vs Predicted
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14Brown University4.30-8.29vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University1.49+0.52vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.05-9.12vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.62-1.64vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.36-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.37Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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7.3Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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12.04Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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13.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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11.15Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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5.71Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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15.52Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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15.36Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 15.5% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 5.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 10.7% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 2.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Alex Cook | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Haley | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 21.7% | 38.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hulse | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 20.2% | 36.7% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.