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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+7.30vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+7.73vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+4.52vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.30+1.89vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+3.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+2.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+3.67vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.88-0.62vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-4.50vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-1.35vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.05-4.11vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.62vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University1.49+2.38vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.90-2.99vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.63-6.63vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.62-0.74vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.36-7.37vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.73Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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7.52Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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5.89Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.22Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.38Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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4.5Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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8.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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13.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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15.38Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.01Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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15.26Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.63Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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11.87Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Alex Cook | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.4% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 14.5% |
| Molly Haley | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 21.1% | 38.4% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Hulse | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 24.0% | 32.6% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.