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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.86vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.35vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.82+4.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.49+4.48vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-2.55+1.71vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.11+3.82vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.71-2.76vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.41+3.12vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.50-0.62vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.98-5.05vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.07-2.88vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.68-5.27vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.00vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.11-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Hawaii2.4120.8%1st Place
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4.68California Poly Maritime Academy1.9214.6%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.6710.8%1st Place
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8.1California State University Channel Islands0.824.4%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Irvine0.493.4%1st Place
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7.71University of Washington-2.555.7%1st Place
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10.82University of California at Los Angeles0.111.8%1st Place
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5.24University of Southern California1.7111.8%1st Place
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12.12Arizona State University-0.411.4%1st Place
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9.38Northeastern University0.503.4%1st Place
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9.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.4%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Berkeley0.987.2%1st Place
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10.12University of California at Davis0.073.1%1st Place
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8.73Northwestern University0.684.1%1st Place
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14.0University of California at San Diego-1.130.5%1st Place
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9.85University of Texas0.113.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 20.8% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Linnea Jackson | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 7.9% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 19.9% | 17.9% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Max Case | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Will Cornell | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 51.8% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.