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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+3.03vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.70+3.87vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+2.21vs Predicted
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4Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+6.23vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.60+1.52vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.19+5.05vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34+3.02vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.12-0.47vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69-3.47vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.87-1.91vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.17-4.11vs Predicted
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12Auburn University0.12-1.04vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-1.67+3.00vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.46-1.06vs Predicted
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15Duke University-1.01-0.73vs Predicted
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16Wake Forest University0.08-4.96vs Predicted
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17Rollins College0.41-8.28vs Predicted
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18University of South Carolina-1.80-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03College of Charleston2.4919.8%1st Place
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5.87Jacksonville University1.709.0%1st Place
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5.21University of Miami2.3212.7%1st Place
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10.23Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.4%1st Place
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6.52University of South Florida1.608.2%1st Place
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11.05The Citadel0.192.8%1st Place
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10.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.343.0%1st Place
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7.53North Carolina State University1.126.6%1st Place
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5.53Florida State University1.6910.8%1st Place
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8.09Clemson University0.875.3%1st Place
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6.89Eckerd College1.176.8%1st Place
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10.96Auburn University0.121.8%1st Place
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16.0University of Central Florida-1.670.1%1st Place
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12.94University of North Carolina-0.461.5%1st Place
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14.27Duke University-1.010.6%1st Place
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11.04Wake Forest University0.082.5%1st Place
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8.72Rollins College0.415.0%1st Place
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16.11University of South Carolina-1.800.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 19.8% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Simpson | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Usher | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Rain Hong | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 26.4% | 37.4% |
| May Proctor | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 4.7% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 20.0% | 20.2% | 11.1% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 23.8% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.