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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.69vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+6.31vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+5.42vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+3.15vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.88+2.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+1.97vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68+4.86vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.30-2.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.80vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy1.62+5.26vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-2.97vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.05-1.18vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.05-6.46vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-4.97vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.90-3.99vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University1.49-0.60vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.81vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.54-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.15Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.22Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.86Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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5.75Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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15.26Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.03Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.03Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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11.01Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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15.4Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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13.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.16Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alex Cook | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.8% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 5.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Hulse | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 19.7% | 36.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Molly Haley | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 20.9% | 36.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 9.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.