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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+1.82vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20+2.64vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+0.18vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-0.28vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.99+0.98vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.52-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.84-1.26vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-1.84-0.61vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82California Poly Maritime Academy1.2026.1%1st Place
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4.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2010.1%1st Place
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3.18California Poly Maritime Academy0.9720.9%1st Place
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3.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8317.7%1st Place
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4.54California Poly Maritime Academy0.2410.9%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Berkeley-0.992.9%1st Place
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6.01Arizona State University-0.525.1%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Irvine-0.843.2%1st Place
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8.39California State University Channel Islands-1.841.4%1st Place
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7.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 26.1% | 22.9% | 21.1% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Ben Louttit | 20.9% | 22.9% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 17.7% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kole Kammerer | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 18.4% | 11.8% |
| Andrew Down | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 3.9% |
| Brayden Money | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 9.2% |
| Liam Moran | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 20.9% | 42.4% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 23.9% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.