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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+8.49vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+6.14vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+5.43vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.90+6.89vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+2.90vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.88+1.30vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.30-1.22vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-1.43vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68+2.80vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.67-1.71vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.54+1.42vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University4.71-7.22vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.05-2.69vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.17vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.63-6.87vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.62-0.84vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.89-9.54vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University1.49-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.49Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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10.89Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.9Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.3Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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5.78Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.57Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.8Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.42Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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4.78Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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10.31University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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12.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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15.16Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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7.46Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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15.31Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Alex Cook | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 7.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.2% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 10.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Hulse | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 32.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Molly Haley | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 20.4% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.