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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+7.30vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+4.90vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+5.27vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+0.55vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+3.16vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.63+2.37vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.89+0.34vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.30-2.20vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University1.49+6.55vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93+1.34vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.88-3.49vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-3.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.10vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.90-3.07vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.35-5.60vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.36-6.52vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.68-4.82vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.62-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.27Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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4.55Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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5.8Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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15.55Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.51Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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13.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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10.93Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.4Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.48Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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12.18Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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15.09Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 17.6% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Haley | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 20.9% | 40.4% |
| James Simmons | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Alex Cook | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 11.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 5.8% |
| Christopher Hulse | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 15.0% | 21.8% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.