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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+3.69vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.72vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.50+6.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.53vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.55+2.57vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.71-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.11+3.78vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.07+1.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-3.02vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.68-2.45vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.82-3.90vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.41-0.92vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine0.49-4.49vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.95vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.11-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.9214.2%1st Place
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3.72University of Hawaii2.4121.1%1st Place
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9.29Northeastern University0.503.4%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.6711.2%1st Place
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7.57University of Washington-2.556.3%1st Place
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5.25University of Southern California1.7110.8%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Los Angeles0.112.1%1st Place
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9.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.1%1st Place
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10.19University of California at Davis0.073.7%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Berkeley0.986.4%1st Place
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8.55Northwestern University0.684.4%1st Place
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8.1California State University Channel Islands0.824.7%1st Place
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12.08Arizona State University-0.411.5%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Irvine0.493.4%1st Place
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14.05University of California at San Diego-1.130.6%1st Place
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10.07University of Texas0.113.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 14.2% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 21.1% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 8.4% |
| Max Case | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Will Cornell | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Sterling Maggard | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 21.1% | 18.2% |
| Arin Bekem | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 51.8% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.