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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+8.49vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+4.82vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+5.47vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+3.78vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71-0.50vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.22vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.89+0.19vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67+0.01vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.70-1.11vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05+0.75vs Predicted
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11Brown University4.30-5.11vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.88-4.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.04vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-2.41vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.90-4.01vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-3.56vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University1.49-1.51vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.62-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.49Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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7.78Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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4.5Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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7.19Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.01Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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5.89Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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12.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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11.59Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.99Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.44Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.49Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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14.95Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 19.5% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Cook | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 11.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.1% |
| Molly Haley | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 18.7% | 40.7% |
| Christopher Hulse | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 22.4% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.