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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+2.17vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+0.75vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.80vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20+0.67vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.52+1.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.84+0.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.99+0.05vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-3.43vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-1.84-0.66vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17California Poly Maritime Academy0.9721.3%1st Place
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2.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.2029.7%1st Place
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3.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8316.0%1st Place
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4.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.208.8%1st Place
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6.07Arizona State University-0.524.9%1st Place
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6.66University of California at Irvine-0.843.5%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Berkeley-0.992.8%1st Place
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4.57California Poly Maritime Academy0.2410.2%1st Place
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8.34California State University Channel Islands-1.841.4%1st Place
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7.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Louttit | 21.3% | 21.1% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Downey | 29.7% | 22.6% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 16.0% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Down | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 5.8% |
| Brayden Money | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 8.8% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 13.2% |
| Kole Kammerer | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Liam Moran | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 21.4% | 42.2% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 23.9% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.