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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.82vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-2.55+5.68vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.68+5.67vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.71+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.28vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+1.86vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.07+1.97vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.82-0.81vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.49-0.71vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.41+1.13vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.11-1.03vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.98-5.80vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-4.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.99vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.11-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82University of Hawaii2.4120.6%1st Place
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7.68University of Washington-2.555.8%1st Place
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8.67Northwestern University0.684.2%1st Place
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5.27University of Southern California1.7110.7%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.6712.0%1st Place
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4.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.9214.1%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.0%1st Place
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9.97University of California at Davis0.073.0%1st Place
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8.19California State University Channel Islands0.824.9%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Irvine0.494.0%1st Place
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12.13Arizona State University-0.411.5%1st Place
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10.97University of California at Los Angeles0.111.9%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Berkeley0.987.3%1st Place
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9.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.0%1st Place
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14.01University of California at San Diego-1.130.4%1st Place
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10.17University of Texas0.112.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 20.6% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 14.1% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 4.7% |
| Sterling Maggard | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Arin Bekem | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 19.8% | 18.1% |
| Linnea Jackson | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| Will Cornell | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Max Case | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 51.2% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.