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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.68vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+10.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+4.40vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+4.12vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+3.00vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.63+2.31vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35+2.31vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-0.10vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-2.41vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.30-4.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.21vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.92-4.59vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-5.16vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.90-3.23vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.05-4.56vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.68-4.00vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University1.49-1.51vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.62-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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12.63Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.4Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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8.0Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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7.9Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.59Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.96Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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13.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.41Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.77Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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12.0Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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15.49Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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14.95Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 16.3% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 11.8% |
| William Bailey | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
| Molly Haley | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 18.8% | 41.2% |
| Christopher Hulse | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 20.9% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.