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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+8.25vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.19vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+1.40vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+2.31vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.18+4.68vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.63+2.00vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+0.84vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.89-1.10vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.90+1.88vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.71-2.00vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.88-3.75vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University1.49+3.55vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.20vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.23-4.68vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-3.38vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.70-8.19vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.54-4.65vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.62-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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4.4Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.84Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.9Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.88Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.0Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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15.55Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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12.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.32Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.62Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.35Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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14.86Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 17.2% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Whipple | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Cook | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Molly Haley | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 18.4% | 42.9% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 9.9% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 6.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 22.2% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.