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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+2.19vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-0.52+4.07vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.24+1.46vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.99+1.90vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-2.19vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-4.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.84-1.30vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-0.96vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-1.84-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19California Poly Maritime Academy0.9721.3%1st Place
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6.07Arizona State University-0.525.2%1st Place
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4.46California Poly Maritime Academy0.2410.8%1st Place
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4.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2010.3%1st Place
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6.9University of California at Berkeley-0.993.8%1st Place
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3.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8315.4%1st Place
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2.81California Poly Maritime Academy1.2027.7%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Irvine-0.843.2%1st Place
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8.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.2%1st Place
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8.38California State University Channel Islands-1.841.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Louttit | 21.3% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Down | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 4.8% |
| Kole Kammerer | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Kasper | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 13.7% |
| Jack Kisling | 15.4% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Downey | 27.7% | 23.4% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 8.5% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 26.0% | 29.9% |
| Liam Moran | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 22.0% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.