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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.35+4.98vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.56+3.39vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.03+4.12vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+3.20vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+2.73vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.48+6.54vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73-2.00vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.51+4.07vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.39-2.78vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.49-4.39vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.57-5.43vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.25+1.02vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University0.67+0.51vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.81-3.53vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.96-5.18vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.30-4.06vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.39Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.12Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.54Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.07Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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5.61Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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5.57Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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13.02Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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14.51Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
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11.47University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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12.94Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Lopez | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 11.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 8.8% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Shapiro | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| John Fonte | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 39.6% |
| Neal Drake | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 13.6% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.