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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.86vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+5.77vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.55+2.75vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.82+2.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.16vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.68+0.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.62vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-0.42vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.07-0.96vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.71-6.59vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine0.49-3.64vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.41-1.84vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.11vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.11-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Hawaii2.4119.2%1st Place
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4.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.9214.3%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.5%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.6711.3%1st Place
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7.75University of Washington-2.555.3%1st Place
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8.33California State University Channel Islands0.825.2%1st Place
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7.16University of California at Berkeley0.987.3%1st Place
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8.76Northwestern University0.684.2%1st Place
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10.62University of California at Los Angeles0.112.7%1st Place
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9.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.4%1st Place
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10.04University of California at Davis0.072.8%1st Place
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5.41University of Southern California1.7111.5%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Irvine0.493.6%1st Place
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12.16Arizona State University-0.411.2%1st Place
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13.89University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
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10.19University of Texas0.112.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 19.2% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Miller | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Sterling Maggard | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Will Cornell | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Linnea Jackson | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.5% |
| Max Case | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 4.4% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 19.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 50.5% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.