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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+4.52vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+7.61vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.03+4.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+1.05vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.56+0.33vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82+2.05vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.57-1.59vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.48+4.15vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.39-2.81vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.81+1.34vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.30+1.92vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.25+1.07vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.05-6.75vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.51-2.60vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University0.67-1.57vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.96-6.09vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.35-11.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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7.11Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.05Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.33Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.41Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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12.15Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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6.19University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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11.34University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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12.92Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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13.07Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.4Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.43Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Ian Towill | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 13.9% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.4% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Neal Drake | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 16.0% |
| Zach Shapiro | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 15.8% |
| Drew Shea | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 9.4% |
| John Fonte | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 37.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Max Lopez | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.