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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+4.34vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.70+3.87vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+1.00vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.12+3.42vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.17+1.82vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.69-0.32vs Predicted
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7Auburn University0.12+3.79vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.19+3.09vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34+1.14vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.60-3.44vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.08+0.05vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.41-2.99vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.87-5.11vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.67+1.86vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-4.83vs Predicted
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16Duke University-1.01-1.77vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-0.46-4.12vs Predicted
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18University of South Carolina-1.80-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34University of Miami2.3211.0%1st Place
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5.87Jacksonville University1.7010.5%1st Place
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4.0College of Charleston2.4920.1%1st Place
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7.42North Carolina State University1.126.8%1st Place
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6.82Eckerd College1.177.6%1st Place
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5.68Florida State University1.6911.1%1st Place
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10.79Auburn University0.122.6%1st Place
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11.09The Citadel0.192.4%1st Place
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10.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.342.9%1st Place
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6.56University of South Florida1.607.7%1st Place
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11.05Wake Forest University0.081.7%1st Place
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9.01Rollins College0.413.6%1st Place
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7.89Clemson University0.876.2%1st Place
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15.86University of Central Florida-1.670.4%1st Place
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10.17Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.0%1st Place
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14.23Duke University-1.010.9%1st Place
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12.88University of North Carolina-0.461.3%1st Place
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16.2University of South Carolina-1.800.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 20.1% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Monahan | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Simpson | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rain Hong | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 27.6% | 34.8% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 11.5% |
| May Proctor | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 21.6% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.