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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.35+5.01vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.39+3.96vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+4.91vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.03+3.21vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.49+0.59vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.56-0.36vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73-2.00vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+1.53vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.48+3.53vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.57-4.60vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.51+1.30vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.05-4.85vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.25-0.95vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.81-3.54vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.30-3.17vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.96-6.11vs Predicted
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18Brandeis University0.67-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.21Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.59Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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5.64Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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12.53Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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5.4Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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12.3Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.15Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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13.05Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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11.46University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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12.83Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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14.53Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Lopez | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Ian Towill | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 10.3% |
| Max Nickbarg | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 9.3% |
| Drew Shea | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zach Shapiro | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 16.5% |
| Neal Drake | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 15.9% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| John Fonte | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.