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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+2.27vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-0.52+4.01vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.80vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.20+0.62vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-2.18vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands-1.84+2.35vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-2.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.99-1.06vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.84-2.33vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27California Poly Maritime Academy0.9720.9%1st Place
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6.01Arizona State University-0.524.5%1st Place
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3.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8315.2%1st Place
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4.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2010.2%1st Place
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2.82California Poly Maritime Academy1.2028.2%1st Place
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8.35California State University Channel Islands-1.841.6%1st Place
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4.52California Poly Maritime Academy0.2410.5%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Berkeley-0.993.2%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Irvine-0.843.8%1st Place
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8.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Louttit | 20.9% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 4.3% |
| Jack Kisling | 15.2% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Kasper | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Downey | 28.2% | 21.9% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Moran | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 21.7% | 42.1% |
| Kole Kammerer | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 11.7% |
| Brayden Money | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 17.3% | 9.4% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 24.5% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.