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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.47+3.83vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.95+4.23vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+4.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.74vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.40-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.27-3.24vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.18+1.89vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.20+2.09vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-4.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.36+0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.41-2.96vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.39-0.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.56-2.17vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.38-3.63vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-2.79vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.4710.8%1st Place
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6.23University of California at Davis0.957.4%1st Place
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7.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.4%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.1%1st Place
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4.99University of Southern California1.4012.0%1st Place
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2.76University of Hawaii2.2730.8%1st Place
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8.89University of Washington0.183.1%1st Place
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10.09Northwestern University-0.203.4%1st Place
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4.92California Poly Maritime Academy1.6211.7%1st Place
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10.71University of California at Irvine-0.362.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Texas0.413.2%1st Place
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11.11Arizona State University-0.391.4%1st Place
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10.83University of California at Berkeley-0.562.0%1st Place
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10.37California State University Channel Islands-0.382.3%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.960.9%1st Place
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14.5University of California at San Diego-2.050.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Caleb Yoslov | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Dylan Wondolleck | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Robert Bloomfield | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Blake Roberts | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Luke Harris | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Bastien Rasse | 30.8% | 24.2% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jaden Unruh | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
Owen Lubben | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
Clay Myers | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Nikita Swatek | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 4.1% |
Reese Zebrowski | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 7.3% |
Victoria Chen | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 5.0% |
Brandon Stadtherr | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 4.0% |
Conrad Kistler | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 21.3% | 14.5% |
Maria Gunness | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.