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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.35+5.03vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+5.07vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+1.93vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.39+2.06vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.57+0.29vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49-0.21vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.56-1.54vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.03-0.93vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.82-1.93vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-1.33vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.48+0.46vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.30-0.09vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.51-1.71vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.81-3.53vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.96-5.19vs Predicted
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17Brandeis University0.67-2.47vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.25-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.07Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.93Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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5.29Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.07Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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12.46Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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12.91Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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12.29Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.47University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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14.53Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
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13.1Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Lopez | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 13.0% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 11.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 10.5% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 11.3% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 14.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.6% |
| Neal Drake | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| John Fonte | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 36.4% |
| Zach Shapiro | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.