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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.56+8.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis0.95+3.28vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.03vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+2.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.47-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.40-2.94vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.18-0.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+2.05vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.39-0.09vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.38-1.48vs Predicted
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13University of Texas0.41-4.93vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.36-3.36vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-2.05-0.46vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University-0.20-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of Hawaii2.2730.9%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Berkeley-0.561.6%1st Place
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6.28University of California at Davis0.957.6%1st Place
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5.03California Poly Maritime Academy1.6212.2%1st Place
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7.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.2%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.4712.6%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Southern California1.4010.8%1st Place
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8.94University of Washington0.182.8%1st Place
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12.05University of California at Los Angeles-0.960.9%1st Place
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10.91Arizona State University-0.391.9%1st Place
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10.52California State University Channel Islands-0.381.9%1st Place
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8.07University of Texas0.413.2%1st Place
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10.64University of California at Irvine-0.362.1%1st Place
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14.54University of California at San Diego-2.050.2%1st Place
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9.95Northwestern University-0.202.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 30.9% | 22.9% | 17.4% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 7.1% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Luke Harris | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 20.3% | 13.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 6.5% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 3.9% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 59.2% |
| Owen Lubben | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.