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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.56+4.37vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+2.87vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.57+1.42vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03+2.20vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.39-0.92vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.35-1.83vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-3.42vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-0.31vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-3.29vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.96-1.24vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.51-0.87vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University0.67+0.27vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.48-2.66vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.30-3.37vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.81-5.77vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.55-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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4.87Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.42Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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7.2Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.94Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.58Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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7.71Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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12.13Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.27Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
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12.34Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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12.63Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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11.23University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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14.62Northeastern University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Lopez | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 11.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 6.9% |
| John Fonte | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 21.5% | 30.3% |
| Ames Lyman | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 7.8% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 10.3% |
| Neal Drake | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| Olin Nelson | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.