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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.03+5.95vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+3.55vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.56+2.46vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.35+2.16vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.73-0.18vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.05+0.23vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.82-0.13vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.57-3.72vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.39-3.90vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.96-0.34vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.48+0.29vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-3.46vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.51-1.85vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.30-2.16vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.55-1.51vs Predicted
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17Brandeis University0.67-2.63vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.81-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.55Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.16Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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4.82Tufts University3.730.2%1st Place
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7.23Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.28Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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12.29Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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12.15Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.84Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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14.49Northeastern University0.550.0%1st Place
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14.37Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
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11.24University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Towill | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Lopez | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 15.1% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 13.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 8.3% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 11.2% |
| Olin Nelson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 34.9% |
| John Fonte | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 21.1% | 29.1% |
| Neal Drake | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.