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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+1.81vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.95+4.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.47+1.68vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.40-0.07vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+1.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.56+3.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+0.86vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.20+0.97vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.18-1.34vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.36-0.33vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+0.01vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.39-2.07vs Predicted
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14University of Texas0.41-5.99vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.38-4.51vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of Hawaii2.2731.5%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Davis0.956.5%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Santa Barbara1.4712.8%1st Place
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4.92California Poly Maritime Academy1.6211.8%1st Place
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4.93University of Southern California1.4011.7%1st Place
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7.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.1%1st Place
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10.76University of California at Berkeley-0.562.1%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.303.8%1st Place
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9.97Northwestern University-0.202.4%1st Place
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8.66University of Washington0.183.1%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Irvine-0.361.7%1st Place
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12.01University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.2%1st Place
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10.93Arizona State University-0.391.2%1st Place
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8.01University of Texas0.413.9%1st Place
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10.49California State University Channel Islands-0.381.9%1st Place
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14.47University of California at San Diego-2.050.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 31.5% | 23.2% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Clay Myers | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 11.7% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 6.2% |
| Summer Drake | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Owen Lubben | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 4.7% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 19.5% | 12.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 6.8% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.