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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.39+4.83vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.56+3.38vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.03+4.09vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+3.17vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.57+0.25vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73-0.94vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82+0.84vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.49-2.46vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+0.74vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.96+0.68vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.81+0.23vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.51+0.08vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.30-0.21vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University0.67+0.37vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.48-2.84vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.55-1.40vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.35-11.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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5.38Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.17Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.25Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.54Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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11.23University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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12.08Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.79Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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14.37Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
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12.16Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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14.6Northeastern University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Spencer | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Neal Drake | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 3.7% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 7.2% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 11.5% |
| John Fonte | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 20.0% | 32.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 8.2% |
| Olin Nelson | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 21.3% | 33.1% |
| Max Lopez | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.