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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.39+5.09vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+6.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.35+3.31vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.96+6.17vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49-0.24vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+3.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.56-2.32vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.48+3.50vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.57-4.20vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.73-5.96vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.51+0.66vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.03-5.60vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.48-4.46vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.30-1.64vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.05-8.61vs Predicted
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17Brandeis University0.95-2.79vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.81-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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8.13Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.31Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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5.76Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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5.68Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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12.5Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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5.8Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.66Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.4Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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13.36Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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14.21Brandeis University0.950.0%1st Place
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11.73University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Spencer | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Max Lopez | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Scott Houck | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 14.6% |
| Max Nickbarg | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 14.9% |
| Ian Towill | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Becker Awqatty | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.0% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
| Drew Shea | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Davida Judelson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 32.3% |
| Neal Drake | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.