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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.35+5.14vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.39+4.07vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.56+2.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.03+3.42vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+2.99vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.96+3.23vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.57-3.42vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.48+2.87vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.81+0.61vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.05-4.47vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.73-7.91vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.48-4.51vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.51-2.25vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University0.95-1.92vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.30-3.64vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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5.65Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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5.58Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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12.87Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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11.61University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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7.53Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.09Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.49Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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12.75Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.08Brandeis University0.950.0%1st Place
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13.36Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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10.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Lopez | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Scott Houck | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 14.3% |
| Neal Drake | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| Drew Shea | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 15.0% |
| Davida Judelson | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 18.4% | 33.9% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 20.1% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.