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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.57+4.76vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.45+3.68vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.85+3.77vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.93+1.85vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38+0.10vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.37+2.70vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.95-0.24vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.73-0.76vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.41+3.00vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+3.62vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.18-1.53vs Predicted
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12Auburn University-0.02-2.02vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.63-1.22vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.46-0.97vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.21vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.92-3.23vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.38-13.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76North Carolina State University1.5710.3%1st Place
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5.68University of South Florida1.459.5%1st Place
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6.77Eckerd College0.856.6%1st Place
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5.85University of Miami1.938.9%1st Place
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5.1Jacksonville University-1.3811.7%1st Place
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8.7Florida State University0.373.6%1st Place
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6.76Rollins College0.958.1%1st Place
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7.24Clemson University0.736.1%1st Place
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12.0The Citadel-0.411.7%1st Place
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13.62Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.0%1st Place
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9.47Wake Forest University0.183.1%1st Place
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9.98Auburn University-0.022.6%1st Place
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11.78Duke University-0.631.9%1st Place
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13.03University of Central Florida-0.460.9%1st Place
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14.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.8%1st Place
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12.77University of North Carolina-0.921.1%1st Place
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3.69College of Charleston2.3822.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Milo Miller | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 7.2% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 20.2% |
| Ruth Palmer | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Henry Ryan | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 13.2% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 41.8% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 9.7% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 22.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.