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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.47+2.70vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis0.95+3.21vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.18+4.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.56+5.92vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.40-0.99vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.20+2.89vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.41-1.20vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-1.23vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.39+0.07vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-7.11vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.80vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.38-3.76vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.36-4.27vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Hawaii2.2729.8%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.4712.4%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Davis0.956.6%1st Place
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8.67University of Washington0.183.8%1st Place
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10.92University of California at Berkeley-0.561.5%1st Place
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5.01University of Southern California1.4012.4%1st Place
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9.89Northwestern University-0.201.9%1st Place
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7.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.355.5%1st Place
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7.8University of Texas0.413.6%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.303.7%1st Place
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11.07Arizona State University-0.391.9%1st Place
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4.89California Poly Maritime Academy1.6212.1%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.1%1st Place
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10.24California State University Channel Islands-0.381.5%1st Place
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10.73University of California at Irvine-0.361.7%1st Place
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14.39University of California at San Diego-2.050.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 29.8% | 22.6% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 12.4% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 6.0% |
| Luke Harris | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lubben | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 2.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Summer Drake | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 7.2% |
| Clay Myers | 12.1% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 14.1% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 3.7% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 4.7% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.