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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+2.96vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+3.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.67+1.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+2.52vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+2.69vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.81+1.25vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.23-1.16vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.15-3.00vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.83+0.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.94-4.41vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.70-4.49vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.15+1.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.32-2.56vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.76-2.04vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.43-0.83vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.72-4.00vs Predicted
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18Brandeis University-0.10-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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4.65Tufts University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.52Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.84Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.0Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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10.16Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.59Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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14.23Maine Maritime Academy0.150.0%1st Place
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11.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.320.0%1st Place
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12.96University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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15.17University of Connecticut-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.74Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 19.7% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Meleney | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 14.2% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Claflin | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Fuehrer | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 20.2% | 22.5% | 18.2% |
| William Thalheimer | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 5.9% |
| Shannan Smith | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 40.4% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 6.3% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 24.5% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.