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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.70+6.34vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.91+1.95vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+2.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.67+0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+1.68vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.02-0.39vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.15-1.88vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.23-3.20vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.81-2.73vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.94-4.43vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83-1.91vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.32-1.51vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-0.10+0.65vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.43+0.28vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.76-3.20vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.15-2.75vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.72-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.95Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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7.68University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.12Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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5.8Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.09Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.320.0%1st Place
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14.65Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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15.28University of Connecticut-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.8University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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14.25Maine Maritime Academy0.150.0%1st Place
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13.02Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke O'Connor | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 18.4% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Meleney | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 15.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Claflin | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| William Thalheimer | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 23.9% | 27.5% |
| Shannan Smith | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 42.1% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 5.5% |
| Allyson Fuehrer | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 20.8% | 22.1% | 17.0% |
| Pierce Conlin | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.