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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+3.56vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.91+1.97vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.94+3.72vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.23+2.00vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.15+0.93vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02+0.59vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.81+0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58-0.31vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.41-3.51vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.70-2.67vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.32+0.47vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.83-3.00vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.72-1.08vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.76-2.06vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University-0.10-1.35vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.15-2.75vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.43-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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3.97Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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6.72Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.0Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.49Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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11.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.320.0%1st Place
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10.0Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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12.92Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.94University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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14.65Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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14.25Maine Maritime Academy0.150.0%1st Place
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15.33University of Connecticut-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 16.1% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 19.3% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Claflin | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Meleney | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Thalheimer | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Pierce Conlin | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 7.7% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 5.7% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 23.6% | 26.8% |
| Allyson Fuehrer | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 21.4% | 16.7% |
| Shannan Smith | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 21.1% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.