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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.95+5.33vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.40+2.95vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.47+0.82vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-0.02vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.20+3.87vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.56+2.93vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-1.16vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.39+1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.41-3.07vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.18-3.14vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.10vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.38-3.54vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-2.93vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33University of California at Davis0.956.6%1st Place
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4.95University of Southern California1.4012.8%1st Place
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2.8University of Hawaii2.2730.9%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.4713.1%1st Place
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4.98California Poly Maritime Academy1.6211.0%1st Place
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9.87Northwestern University-0.202.5%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.5%1st Place
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10.93University of California at Berkeley-0.562.1%1st Place
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7.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.8%1st Place
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11.04Arizona State University-0.391.5%1st Place
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7.93University of Texas0.413.9%1st Place
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8.86University of Washington0.182.2%1st Place
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10.9University of California at Irvine-0.361.5%1st Place
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10.46California State University Channel Islands-0.382.0%1st Place
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12.07University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.4%1st Place
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14.5University of California at San Diego-2.050.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Wondolleck | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Harris | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 30.9% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lubben | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 5.5% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 5.3% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jaden Unruh | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 5.6% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 4.2% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 13.9% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 13.5% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.