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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.81+5.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.91+1.94vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02+3.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.23+1.96vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.70+2.31vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.41-0.48vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.15-0.92vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.83+1.87vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.67-4.25vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.94-4.41vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-4.07vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.15+1.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.32-2.49vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.43+0.27vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.76-3.16vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.72-3.96vs Predicted
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18Brandeis University-0.10-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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3.94Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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6.48Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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4.75Tufts University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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14.23Maine Maritime Academy0.150.0%1st Place
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11.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.320.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Connecticut-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.84University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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13.04Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.74Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Scanlon | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 19.2% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Claflin | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Meleney | 11.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ben Weigel | 12.5% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Fuehrer | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 23.7% | 17.6% |
| William Thalheimer | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Shannan Smith | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 41.6% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 20.6% | 12.3% | 4.9% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 7.2% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 24.0% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.