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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+2.96vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+3.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.23+2.88vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+3.83vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.67-0.45vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.70+1.55vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.83+3.07vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.02-1.65vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.81-1.75vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.94-4.38vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.15-5.83vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.32-1.55vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-0.10+0.64vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.76-2.07vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.43-0.83vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.15-2.73vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.72-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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5.28Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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4.55Tufts University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.35Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.62Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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11.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.320.0%1st Place
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14.64Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.93University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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15.17University of Connecticut-0.430.0%1st Place
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14.27Maine Maritime Academy0.150.0%1st Place
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13.04Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 18.8% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Meleney | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 8.6% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 14.9% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Jessica Claflin | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Thalheimer | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 23.6% | 26.4% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 6.4% |
| Shannan Smith | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 15.1% | 19.8% | 41.0% |
| Allyson Fuehrer | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 21.9% | 17.3% |
| Pierce Conlin | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.